Fantasy Preview: Roger Bernadina

In 2011, Roger Bernadina struggled as a platoon regular, hitting .241/.301/.362 in his second full MLB season. There were calls for him to be non-tendered, but he flourished in a primarily bench role in 2012. He hit .291/.372/.405 with 15 stolen bases playing primarily as a late-game substitute or injury replacement. Heading into 2013, he looks poised to prove that his 2012 was no fluke, but some regression is to be expected after a career-best season. Our projections support this:

February 20, 2013; Viera, FL, USA; Washington Nationals left fielder Roger Bernadina (33) poses for photo day at Space Coast Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports

ZiPS: 396 AB, .248/.317/.385, 31 RBI, 39 RS, 18 SB, 9 HR

MLB.com: 225 AB, .262/.336/.351, 22 RBI, 22 RS, 13 SB, 4 HR

CBSSports:  317 AB, .259/.319/.391, 33 RBI, 39 RS, 16 SB, 8 HR

ESPN Fantasy: 211 AB, .256/.325/.379, 21 RBI, 26 RS, 12 SB, 5 HR

Averages: 287 AB, .256/.324/.376, 27 RBI, 32 RS, 15 SB, 7 HR

Taking into account ZiPS’ playing-time-ignoring prediction, our averages expect Bernadina to play a bit more than he did in 2012, which means that he should probably get about the same number of plate appearances. The projectors foresee a return to Bernadina’s pre-2012 stats, which is reasonable, given that Bernadina’s baBIP jumped 74 points from 2011 to 2012. But if Bernadina can simply split his 2012 numbers and projections, giving him a roughly .270/.350/.390 line, he would take a huge step towards establishing himself as a top bench bat, as opposed to a AAAA player. In fantasy, Bernadina will have no value unless a starting outfielder is injured, and even then, only in deep NL-only leagues. As a Nat, he will hopefully remain a productive pinch hitter and defensive whiz who can make plays like this.

Topics: Roger Bernadina, Washington Nationals

Want more from District on Deck?  
Subscribe to FanSided Daily for your morning fix. Enter your email and stay in the know.

TEAMFeed More Nationals news from the Fansided Network

Hot on the Web From golf.com