RallyMullet (www.nationalsarchive.com)

Your-sorta-Daily Playoff Odds Update

Well, the Nats won 2 of 3 against the Philthies, but have dug such a hole for themselves that they really needed to win 3. Even still, the Reds were kind enough to drop 2 of 3 from the Brewers and the Nats are once again just 4.5 games back, but 4 back in the all important loss column.

According to coolstandings.com, the Nats odds of making the playoffs has now risen to 3.3%. Yes, I’m writing a blog to update you all on something that has 3.3% of a chance of happening….You’re welcome America. star wars

Tonight the Nats will begin a 3 game series against the Barves who they have lost to an unprecedented eleventy-seventy times this year. Whatever hex Freddie Gonzalez put on the Nationals this year was a good one.  The Nationals are 0-6 against the Barves this year in Nationals park and just 4-12 against them overall. So yeah, they’re totally due.

Meanwhile, the Reds will begin a 3 game series against the AAA Astros. Hopefully, Bo Porter has a trick or two up his sleeve. Also, the Pirates and Cardinals played well enough over the weekend that they’ve just about killed any chance the Nationals had of catching them. Although, in St. Louis’ case that might not be a bad thing.

The Nationals will visit the Cardinals next week and the best thing that could happen to the Nationals is to run into a Cardinals team that is resting its starters and setting its playoff rotation. Or in other words, a team that is more interested in the postseason than beating the Nats. Given the new Wildcard format, this seems unlikely though, as St. Louis and Pittsburgh are tied for the lead in the NL Central and neither team wants to run the risk of winding up in a one game playoff.

There may be some hope for the Nats in the Reds lackluster schedule down the stretch. As Sports Illustrated’s Tom Verducci points out. with expanded rosters, sometimes playing a bad team is worse than playing a good team or mediocre team down the stretch. The 2007 Mets, along with the 2011 Red Sox and Braves all struggled against losing teams down the stretch and missed the playoffs.

The Nationals best hope of making the playoffs is still for the Pirates to beat up on the Reds in their 6 remaining games together. The Nationals are currently on pace for 86 wins, not what anyone expected coming into the season, but at least they’re making it interesting down the stretch and showing a lot of heart, just need more Rally Mullet. With 13 games to go, the Nationals chances are improving.

(Photo courtesy of www.thenationalsarchive.com)

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Tags: Davey Johnson F.P. Santangelo Washington Nationals

  • http://Beltwayboysports.com BeltwayBoy Sports

    Catching the Reds is our only hope! The Braves have turned Nationals Park into their home away from home this season! I don’t want to see them clinch the N.L. East here on our field and they need two wins to make it happen. I know they got the division, but I don’t want to see them celebrating it here when they clinch. The Reds are 36-40 on the road this season and I’m hoping they will drop one or two against the Astros before getting swept in Pittsburgh. I know our chances are slim to none, but I can’t give up the hope we can still somehow sneak in. We can’t concede anymore ground because time is quickly running out! But at least we have a chance!

    • JWLumley

      Yup, if the Nats sweep the Barves and the Reds drop just one game to the Astros, the Reds will start feeling the pressure. Never underestimate Dusty Baker’s ability to do something colossally stupid that costs his team a chance to win.

      • http://Beltwayboysports.com BeltwayBoy Sports

        Agreed! I think tonight’s game against the Braves is a make or break game for us. A loss tonight and I think we’re done. This game could do a lot to fuel our late surge from a confidence standpoint or it could be the final nail in a tough luck season. The Braves have had their way with us here and we’ve got to take this game. If we sweep this series then it will get really interesting when the Reds go into Pittsburgh this weekend.