February 20, 2013; Viera, FL, USA; Washington Nationals relief pitcher Henry Rodriguez (63) poses for photo day at Space Coast Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports

During the spring, Rodriguez had a 4.15 ERA in 8.2 IP, but he struggled with control even more than he usually does, walking 10 batters in that span. Johnson dismissed speculation that Rodriguez could start the season on the DL, instead placing his trust in him. The other candidate for Rodriguez’s spot was LHP J.C. Romero, who threw two scoreless innings in Spring Training after having success with the Puerto Rican national team in the World Baseball Classic. Romero will instead start the season in the minors.

At the catcher’s spot, the conflict was between Ramos and Kurt Suzuki, who became the starter last year after being acquired from Oakland. Suzuki hit .270/.364/.432 during Spring Training, while Ramos hit .353/.353/.559 in his return from ACL surgery. Ramos will start Opening Day, but Suzuki should get plenty of playing time as a backup.

February 20, 2013; Viera, FL, USA; Washington Nationals relief pitcher Henry Rodriguez (63) poses for photo day at Space Coast Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Barr-USA TODAY Sports

Henry Rodriguez: Now healthy, the job will likely be H-Rod’s to lose. He suffered from an elbow injury last year and, as a result, had a 5.83 ERA in 29.1 IP. Also nicknamed MPH-Rod for his 100 MPH fastball, Rodriguez is well known for his velocity and lack of control. He struck out a strong 23.7% of the batters he faced last season, but also walked an extremely high 16.8%. A major motivating factor to keep Rodriguez in the Major League bullpen is the fact that he is out of minor league options, and would have to be exposed to waivers to be sent to the minors, from which he would almost certainly be claimed. If he fails to put it all together for another year, the Nationals could be finally convinced to cut ties with him, which might open the door for another of these pitchers.

Bill Bray: Heading into Spring Training, Bray looked like the minor league deal invitee with the best chance to make the Opening Day roster. He had been a productive reliever with the Cincinnati Reds before his performance suffered as the result of an injury last year. As a lefty, he seemed to fit the Nationals’ needs perfectly, but early struggles in Spring Training resulted in his being sent down to minor league camp to work on his arm slot. If he does indeed return to form, he would likely not make the major league team until midseason, and might not be able to do so unless Rodriguez struggles.

Fernando Abad: Abad’s story is just the opposite of Bray’s. He came into camp after a 5.10 ERA last year with the Houston Astros and proceeded to blow away all expectations, with a 2.57 ERA in seven innings in Spring Training. He is also a lefty, which means he fits the bullpen well, but given his career regular season numbers, he will likely start the year in the minors. He, like Bray, could make it up with some success and failure by Rodriguez or an injury to another reliever.

Mar 9, 2013; Melbourne, FL, USA; Washington Nationals manager Davey Johnson (5) hands off the ball to relief pitcher Erik Davis (55) during the top of the fourth inning of a spring training game against the Miami Marlins at Space Coast Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Erik Davis: Davis had a career year in the minors last season, with a 2.71 ERA between AA and AAA, and carried his success over to Spring Training. He had a 1.13 ERA in eight innings and made a favorable impression on the big league coaches. However, he has only pitched 13.2 career innings at AAA, so he will likely spend 2013 there. Only 26, he could make a case for a bullpen job in 2014 if any space becomes available, and perhaps for a while to come after that.

Christian Garcia: Garcia is the longest shot of the bunch for quite a few reasons. Despite his great success out of the pen last year, with a 2.13 ERA in 12.2 IP, which earned him a spot on the playoff roster, he was being groomed for a starter’s role heading into this season. As if that weren’t enough to keep him out of the bullpen, he suffered a partially torn forearm tendon in Spring Training that will likely keep him out beyond Opening Day. If the spot were to be filled based solely on ability, Garcia would likely take it, but circumstance dictates that he will most likely spend 2013 toiling as a starter in AAA.

Jul 19, 2012; Washington, DC, USA; Washington Nationals relief pitcher Henry Rodriguez (63) throws to the New York Mets during the seventh inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

ZiPS: 51.2 IP, 58 K, 33 BB, 3.66 ERA, 1.41 WHIP

MLB.com: 55 IP, 58 K, 27 BB, 4.58 ERA, 1.44 WHIP

CBSSports: 41 IP, 45 K, 27 BB, 4.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP

ESPN Fantasy: 40 IP, 43 K, 28 BB, 4.28 ERA, 1.50 WHIP

Averages: 47 IP, 51 K, 29 BB, 4.23 ERA, 1.45 WHIP

Apart from one somewhat optimistic projection, our projectors have an unfavorable view of Rodriguez’s shot this year, which might be his last chance to make his mark in the majors. The average projects him to have a sky-high 5.12 BB/9, and this lack of control will likely be his undoing. As some may remember from 2011, Rodriguez earned his nickname of SMH-Rod by making every save an adventure with his walks and wild pitches. If he can’t improve the problems that plagued him in the past, and there isn’t much reason to think he will, his time with the Nats, at least at the major league level, will likely be over. If he discovers anything resembling control, however, his overpowering fastball will make him at least slightly useful. In fantasy, he has next to no value, except in absurdly deep NL-only leagues that place a ton of emphasis on strikeouts and nothing else. On the Nats, he’ll be the last man in the pen and first to be replaced, perhaps by minor league reliever Erik Davis or veteran lefty Bill Bray.