Washington Nationals: Predictions For Dodgers-Nats NLDS

Jul 21, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers center fielder Andrew Toles (60) beats the throw to Washington Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon (6) at third base during the second inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
Jul 21, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers center fielder Andrew Toles (60) beats the throw to Washington Nationals third baseman Anthony Rendon (6) at third base during the second inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports /
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Washington Nationals
Sep 26, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; Washington Nationals starting pitcher Tanner Roark (57) throws to the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports /

Tanner Roark’s start is critical if the Washington Nationals are to get past the Los Angeles Dodgers.

If he goes in Game 2, he should face the fragile Rich Hill. For whatever reason Dusty Baker waits until Game 3, he’d face playoff rookie Kenta Maeda. Either way, even with Maeda’s great first-season, the odds stack on the side of Roark.

The preference is a Game 2 start at home. If you figure Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw is even on paper, Roark winning Game 2 puts all the pressure back on Los Angeles when they fly back home for Monday’s Game 3. If Scherzer wins, you may force Kershaw to pitch Game 4 on short rest to save the series and throw rookie Julio Urias to start Game 5 in DC. No way they go Rich Hill on short rest.

Roark has handled the tough assignments all year. He will not baffle the Dodgers as Scherzer will, but in the shadows at home Saturday, his chances are fairly good.

Washington has the luxury of home field and Scherzer twice. They will not need it. Nats in four. Gio Gonzalez fumbles in Game 3 while Joe Ross and Reynaldo Lopez pitch DC into the NLCS.

Batting fifth is staff writer Chris Lacey, who talks about the rest of the Washington Nationals rotation: